Residents of the Big Apple will discover who will be their next mayor this Tuesday, in a contest that will determine who governs and protects the nation's largest city at a time when Donald Trump has threatened to send armed forces to the urban center.
In this context, New York has experienced a race for mayor that has pitted two distinctly opposing Democratic figures against one another. The contest has become an acrimonious showdown, laced with accusations of racial bias and Islamophobia, but it is the ideological divide between the two leading contenders that could have significant consequences for how the Democratic party performs in next year's congressional races.
On the left side is Zohran Mamdani, the 34-year-old progressive candidate whose meteoric rise and grassroots campaign has attracted international attention. On the establishment side is Andrew Cuomo, the ex- New York governor now running as an independent – and enjoying the backing of ultra-rich donors and big business.
With days to go, it is the progressive, the former longshot who defeated his opponent in the Democratic primary who is solidly positioned as the leading candidate. Mamdani, who has run on a agenda of economic justice and promised to halt rent increases for about two million city residents, has outpaced Cuomo by significant margins in every poll conducted in October, and it is very much the younger man's election to throw away.
However, the former governor, who resigned as governor in 2021 amid allegations of misconduct, has stated clearly he will fight to the finish, and not necessarily in an above-the-belt fashion. He has criticized Mamdani's goals as unrealistic, and in recent days laughed as a radio host made Islamophobic remarks about the candidate, who is Muslim. Two weeks ago, Cuomo was strongly criticized as racist after posting an AI-generated ad that included a slew of racial caricatures and showed his opponent releasing a group of criminals.
This represents a particularly ugly end to an election that could be critical to the path that the Democratic party, struggling in its response to Trump's authoritarian grabs, takes in the coming years.
Should the progressive wins convincingly, the establishment party leaders who have declined to support his bid will be compelled to address a message that has appealed to voters' frustration at inequality, soaring price rises and the political elite. It would be hard for the Senate leader and Hakeem Jeffries not to adopt at least a portion of Mamdani's progressive proposals about economic justice, given the fresh face has created an excitement within the Democratic ranks perhaps not seen since Bernie Sanders ran for president in 2016.
However, if the former governor, who had been expected to win easily in the June primary, complete a remarkable riches-to-rags-to-riches victory, it could cement the party's current model of considered, uninspiring opposition – a strategy that has angered grassroots members. A NYC defeat of the progressive's progressive, positive message could convince party leaders that the wisest course is to remain in the center – even as surveys show the current iteration of the party is widely disliked across the country.
Voters in the city seem to prefer the progressive agenda. Surveys show that Mamdani supporters are far more enthusiastic about their choice than Cuomo backers, something that has been evident throughout the campaign. Mamdani's engaging content on digital platforms, his hopeful outlook for the city and his willingness to actually venture out and connect with voters in the metropolis has drawn an force of over fifty thousand supporters, many of them young or new participants.
Yet, Cuomo, 67, continues to fight. And with the risks against him, the ex-leader has turned to negative campaigning in recent weeks.
Following extensive throwing basically everything at Mamdani to see what might resonate, Cuomo has concentrated on attacking Mamdani directly. He has labelled his rival, who was of Ugandan origin to Indian parents, an "radical", and appeared on conservative media for an interview with a rightwing host, where Cuomo asserted the city “will not survive” Mamdani as mayor. It hit bottom last week, when Cuomo chuckled and said “that’s another problem” after a broadcaster said Mamdani would “cheer” another terrorist incident.
The line of attack echoes much of what Trump, who has sent the military reserves to Washington DC and warned to do the same to New York, has said about Mamdani, and maybe that shouldn’t come as a surprise. A set of wealthy residents, including some who donated to Trump in the 2024 election, have invested heavily into trying to get Cuomo into office, as other influential figures have pressured Curtis Sliwa to withdraw from the race.
As far as the Cuomo camp, and his billionaire supporters, are concerned, it should not have reached to this. When the assemblyman, one of one hundred fifty state legislators, launched his campaign for mayor in October 2024, few had heard of him, and in truth, few even paid attention.
Cuomo, by comparison, eased his way into the contest in this year and became the instant favorite. He was the political heavyweight who apparently held all the advantages. The classic establishment figure, he had wed a Kennedy and worked in Bill Clinton’s administration. He became New York governor in over a decade ago, 17 years after his father, the former governor, stepped down from the same position.
The progressive, who was elected to the state legislature in recently, does not have the same political heritage. But his commitment to providing no-cost transit and affordable child services – along with the rent control promise – present a brighter outlook of the city's direction than Cuomo’s dire warnings about “mayhem” and unfettered crime, and his vow to increase police presence.
Nevertheless, Mamdani has encountered some challenges in recent days, after footage emerged appearing to show him implying the New York police department and the Israel Defense Forces were intertwined.
“We have to make clear that when the boot of the police is on your neck, it’s been laced by the IDF,” Mamdani said in the recording, filmed at a Democratic Socialists of America gathering in recent years. Mamdani, a longtime critic of the Israeli government who has said the country is engaging in atrocities in Gaza, indicated he was criticizing cooperative programs between the city police and IDF.
As the race closes, the candidate seems to have gained sympathy and support, however, for his response to his opponent's escalating attacks.
Mamdani addressed Cuomo’s terrorism comments in an emotional video. In it, the candidate recalled how, when he first ran for the legislature, a Muslim uncle advised to him that he did not have to tell people about his Muslim faith. It was a lesson, Mamdani said, that many Muslim New Yorkers had been told “again and again”: “That safety could only be found in the shadows of our community. That it is in those hidden spaces alone where followers of Islam could embrace their true selves, and that if we were to step out from those shadows, then it is in those shadows that we must set aside our beliefs.”
Speaking to the actions of his opponents, who has claimed Mamd
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